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Rahul W's rating predictions


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11 minutes ago, Soccahappy said:

Update for Premiership Review below:-

Previous tables on pages 777, 779, 780, 781, 782, 783, 784.785,786,787, 788, 789, 790, 791,792,793, 794,795,796,797,798,799,800,801,803,804,805.806,807,808,810,811,812,813,814.816,817,818,819,821,822,823,824,825,8826,827,828,829,830,831.832,833,834,835.836,837,839,841,842,844,845,855,856,857.860,864,866, 867.868,871,872,873,875,876,877,878,880,914,955,988. 1003,1008,1016, 1023.1026,1030, 1032,1042, 1045, 1047, 1055 , 1057, 1060, 1063, 1065, 1068, 1082, 1083, 1085, 1087, 1089, 1092, 1095, 1098, 1103,1106,1109,1118 ,1121, 1124 1126, 1132, 1138, 1141, 1147, 1152, 1153, 1155, 1157, 1158,1159 , 1160 , 1161,1163, 1165, 1169, 1174,1175,1176, 1180, 1187,  1189, 1197, 1210, 1211, 1212,1222, 1225, 1226,1227, 1236, 1239, 1240,NEW SEASON 1294 1303, 1307, 1309Prem , 1311P, 1316P  1318P, 1321P,  1323P Be careful of the Reddish boxes where the higher rated players are more inclined towards performances rather than stats.

Minutes will vary game by game and league position also helps a lot. Anything over 0% indicates likely riser, higher the better/safer. Negative percentages don't predict a drop just less chances of a rise. The more games played the more accurate the predictions will become.

I am concentrating mainly on Younger under 89 rated players as these are more consistent risers and more profitable, Goal keepers are dealt with by SM in a completely different way, which is why I mostly also ignore Gk's 

Sp-Sht-Predic-Ars-Ast-Villa1.png

It seems both these clubs have a lot of players who played last season and haven't played a minute in this seasons premiership for 1 reason or another, Injuries, Loans or just not selected, more so the latter it seems. Can understand Mikel Arteta only playing players who follow his strict training and tactical regime I suppose, but Villa too? I count about 9 over both clubs, which seems a lot. You can see how widespread it is with the very large minus % figures. You'd think overplaying would lead to more injuries?

Anyway the positive side of that is so many more minutes for the rest of the players which U see with the relatively larger % figures, too. Consequently a larger number of risers to be had with Villa having Nine!

Plenty to chose from then! That is the Premiership finished for now, other than keeping them up to date.  I'll probably get back to the French risers on jaybees thread next, complete that and then probably Germany.

Anyway, thanks for the interest and support for the Spreadsheet, which is greatly appreciated, Cheers Socca 😀

 

Ollie Watkins to 87 I guess

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34 minutes ago, Lost soul said:

Time to sell Hazard? Not sure if I can get a good deal...are we sure he's getting a -1 in winter review? And also do players lose value at their 30th bday (Hazard has his bday in Jan)? 

After 28 it gets more haphazard into the 30's, Lost Soul. Not worth tracking, no longer yearly but much more often throughout the year. I think @topofthebilly might have found it on a monthly basis if I remember correctly?? Have you kept any records Toppo?

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34 minutes ago, Soccahappy said:

Update for Premiership Review below:-

Previous tables on pages 777, 779, 780, 781, 782, 783, 784.785,786,787, 788, 789, 790, 791,792,793, 794,795,796,797,798,799,800,801,803,804,805.806,807,808,810,811,812,813,814.816,817,818,819,821,822,823,824,825,8826,827,828,829,830,831.832,833,834,835.836,837,839,841,842,844,845,855,856,857.860,864,866, 867.868,871,872,873,875,876,877,878,880,914,955,988. 1003,1008,1016, 1023.1026,1030, 1032,1042, 1045, 1047, 1055 , 1057, 1060, 1063, 1065, 1068, 1082, 1083, 1085, 1087, 1089, 1092, 1095, 1098, 1103,1106,1109,1118 ,1121, 1124 1126, 1132, 1138, 1141, 1147, 1152, 1153, 1155, 1157, 1158,1159 , 1160 , 1161,1163, 1165, 1169, 1174,1175,1176, 1180, 1187,  1189, 1197, 1210, 1211, 1212,1222, 1225, 1226,1227, 1236, 1239, 1240,NEW SEASON 1294 1303, 1307, 1309Prem , 1311P, 1316P  1318P, 1321P,  1323P Be careful of the Reddish boxes where the higher rated players are more inclined towards performances rather than stats.

Minutes will vary game by game and league position also helps a lot. Anything over 0% indicates likely riser, higher the better/safer. Negative percentages don't predict a drop just less chances of a rise. The more games played the more accurate the predictions will become.

I am concentrating mainly on Younger under 89 rated players as these are more consistent risers and more profitable, Goal keepers are dealt with by SM in a completely different way, which is why I mostly also ignore Gk's 

Sp-Sht-Predic-Ars-Ast-Villa1.png

CORRECTION: McGinn (Villa) should read +1 to 88

It seems both these clubs have a lot of players who played last season and haven't played a minute in this seasons premiership for 1 reason or another, Injuries, Loans or just not selected, more so the latter it seems. Can understand Mikel Arteta only playing players who follow his strict training and tactical regime I suppose, but Villa too? I count about 9 over both clubs, which seems a lot. You can see how widespread it is with the very large minus % figures. You'd think overplaying would lead to more injuries?

Anyway the positive side of that is so many more minutes for the rest of the players which U see with the relatively larger % figures, too. Consequently a larger number of risers to be had with Villa having Nine!

Plenty to chose from then! That is the Premiership finished for now, other than keeping them up to date.  I'll probably get back to the French risers on jaybees thread next, complete that and then probably Germany.

Anyway, thanks for the interest and support for the Spreadsheet, which is greatly appreciated, Cheers Socca 😀

 

McGinn is 87 currently so you think he will go to 88?

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10 minutes ago, ombarcagunners said:

Ollie Watkins to 87 I guess

Yes I thought 87 myself but maybe with more risers and Villa having only played 7 premiership games b4 this weekend it's being conservative.... should change with more minutes, assists and goals adding up. Also with a game in hand they should move up the table slightly a bit when it gets evened up.

There is a natural growth with more games and stats built in but it's not that much??

 

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39 minutes ago, Lost soul said:

Time to sell Hazard? Not sure if I can get a good deal...are we sure he's getting a -1 in winter review? And also do players lose value at their 30th bday (Hazard has his bday in Jan)? 

Yeah I would sell if you can get a decent replacement, I believe he will consistently lose value each month when he’s 30+

Someone correct me if I’m wrong.

14 minutes ago, ombarcagunners said:

Ollie Watkins to 87 I guess

I agree!

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20 minutes ago, Soccahappy said:

After 28 it gets more haphazard into the 30's, Lost Soul. Not worth tracking, no longer yearly but much more often throughout the year. I think @topofthebilly might have found it on a monthly basis if I remember correctly?? Have you kept any records Toppo?

It is 1.15% loss of value for players over 30 , at the beginning of each month . So 12 times a year .

I do not think it happens for players who are between 27 and 29 .

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Player to watch

Currently not in SM but a very interesting player to buy when added.

Elliot Anderson (18) who just turned 18 has been on fire for Newcastle’s u21’s and scored a double last night against Bolton Wanderers in the EFL trophy.

He’s been training with the first team for a while now and performances like this will only help his chances of a first team appearance.

Give him a chance Bruce!!!

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1 hour ago, Lost soul said:

Time to sell Hazard? Not sure if I can get a good deal...are we sure he's getting a -1 in winter review? And also do players lose value at their 30th bday (Hazard has his bday in Jan)? 

Can never be sure with these 50/50 changes for high rated players, but I'd say he is close to dropping 

45 minutes ago, ombarcagunners said:

Ollie Watkins to 87 I guess

Yeah

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6 minutes ago, Mattheus said:

Hello 

Can you give me players 83 max per post

Goalkeepers, defenders, midfielders, scorer

Thank you

GK 

Illan Meslier - 82 -> 85

Arnaud Bodart - 82 -> 84

DEF

Darnell Furlong - 83 -> 85

Federico Dimarco - 83 -> 85

Nayef Aguerd - 83 -> 85

Antonee Robinson - 83 -> 85

James Justin - 83 -> 85/6

Kyle Walker-Peters - 83 -> 85

Jordan Lotomba - 83 -> 85

Marco Friedl - 83 -> 85

Alexis Saelemakers - 83 -> 85

Sven Botman - 83 -> 86

Wesley Fofana - 82 -> 85

MID

Maxence Caqueret - 83 -> 85

Adrien Fein - 83 -> 84/5

Pedro Goncalves - 83 -> 85

Aurelien Tchouameni - 83 -> 85

Connor Gallagher - 83 -> 84/5

Brahim Diaz - 83 -> 85

FWD

Karlan Grant - 83 -> 84/5

Che Adams - 83 -> 86

Tino Kadewere - 83 -> 85

Josh Sargent - 83 -> 85

Eddie Nketiah - 83 -> 84/5

Some options here, I’m sure there are many more.

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1 hour ago, Mattheus said:

Hello 

Can you give me players 83 max per post

Goalkeepers, defenders, midfielders, scorer

Thank you

See Kieran's post

2 minutes ago, Nameless said:

Pick one

Valverde+Gimenez+Oyarzabal

Sterling+Valverde/Goretza

Sancho+Bruno F.

Ooh this is difficult! 

If you need depth: the trio

Between the two duos, it's difficult, but I think I might go for Sancho and Bruno. This is hoping Sancho gets 94 in a few years.

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14 minutes ago, Nameless said:

Pick one

Valverde+Gimenez+Oyarzabal

Sterling+Valverde/Goretza

Sancho+Bruno F.

1 minute ago, Nameless said:

Only basing on this upcoming review which one will you pick?

Sterling + Goretzka.

Gotetzka is sooo good. You my as well get the finished article than Valverde.

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On 11/17/2020 at 4:43 PM, Soccahappy said:

Premiership Review below:-

Previous tables on pages 777, 779, 780, 781, 782, 783, 784.785,786,787, 788, 789, 790, 791,792,793, 794,795,796,797,798,799,800,801,803,804,805.806,807,808,810,811,812,813,814.816,817,818,819,821,822,823,824,825,8826,827,828,829,830,831.832,833,834,835.836,837,839,841,842,844,845,855,856,857.860,864,866, 867.868,871,872,873,875,876,877,878,880,914,955,988. 1003,1008,1016, 1023.1026,1030, 1032,1042, 1045, 1047, 1055 , 1057, 1060, 1063, 1065, 1068, 1082, 1083, 1085, 1087, 1089, 1092, 1095, 1098, 1103,1106,1109,1118 ,1121, 1124 1126, 1132, 1138, 1141, 1147, 1152, 1153, 1155, 1157, 1158,1159 , 1160 , 1161,1163, 1165, 1169, 1174,1175,1176, 1180, 1187,  1189, 1197, 1210, 1211, 1212,1222, 1225, 1226,1227, 1236, 1239, 1240,NEW SEASON 1294 1303, 1307, 1309Prem , 1311P, 1316P  1318P Be careful of the Reddish boxes where the higher rated players are more inclined towards performances rather than stats.

Minutes will vary game by game and league position also helps a lot. Anything over 0% indicates likely riser, higher the better/safer. Negative percentages don't predict a drop just less chances of a rise. The more games played the more accurate the predictions will become.

I am concentrating mainly on Younger under 89 rated players as these are more consistent risers and more profitable, Goal keepers are dealt with by SM in a completely different way, which is why I mostly also ignore Gk's 

Sp-Sht-Predict-Chels-Everto1.png

100% mins for Guehi at Swansea (Loan) and Reece James at 87 is much better than that and on performances SM might give him a +2?? I would, playing for England etc etc. Hope Kante's  almost 100% mins will gain him protection from losing his 94. More minutes than every other Chelsea player. From what I have seen of Ziyech he should progress readily at Chelsea now he is fit! Emerson Palmieri been disappointing, due for drop?

Poor old (young!) Jonjoe Kenny (nickname: "3 first names" ?) has been harshly treated and now so few minutes. Will SM change their stance on him and actually give him the rise that is owed for his great displays in Germany? Doubt it but possible. Note the Injuries slightly different colours one where a return target is known and the others, without. 

Thanks for your  interest and support for the Spreadsheet, which is greatly appreciated, Cheers Socca😃 

Ps Just noticed the +1's for Davies and Holgate are Typo's, sorry 😖

Do you have something about Werner? Thanks 😉 

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Kounde recently went up in value in all my GW.  He is available for 20M, but Soyuncu is also available for 16M. 

Kounde is probably a 90 soon, and Soyuncu is injured.  Which is the better option, considering relative cost, and assuming Kounde moves to a bigger club soon?   

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On 11/18/2020 at 11:11 PM, jaybee said:

Here is the list of names I currently have who have expressed interest in a Forum Regulars league.

Apologies if I have missed any names out. Quote this post to confirm if you are not in list.

Thanks

 

Jaybee

Gyan- added as friend
Hoochy - added as friend
Thorgan - added as friend
Milanista
Rahul - added as friend 
Lowco - added as friend
Nameless - added as friend
D5v1l 
Crvena - added as friend
Hfazil - added as friend
Mele10 - added as friend
Rhugrakkar - added as friend
TCLvikerz - added as friend
Russj - added as friend
Vinnylow - added as friend
Lost Soul - added as friend
TMCosta - added as friend
JBS - added as friend

Cvilhete - added as friend

Laura afca

Lee

Bavarac

23 names on the list now.

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On 11/18/2020 at 4:11 PM, jaybee said:

Here is the list of names I currently have who have expressed interest in a Forum Regulars league.

Apologies if I have missed any names out. Quote this post to confirm if you are not in list.

Thanks

 

Jaybee

Gyan- added as friend
Hoochy - added as friend
Thorgan - added as friend
Milanista
Rahul - added as friend 
Lowco - added as friend
Nameless - added as friend
D5v1l 
Crvena - added as friend
Hfazil - added as friend
Mele10 - added as friend
Rhugrakkar - added as friend
TCLvikerz - added as friend
Russj - added as friend
Vinnylow - added as friend
Lost Soul - added as friend
TMCosta - added as friend
JBS - added as friend

Cvilhete - added as friend

Laura afca

Lee

Bavarac

Me!! Jack Gov'na Black

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