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Rahul W's rating predictions


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Hi all, As you have seen, I have not really been active over the past few months other than updating my preds. It's just been me phasing out of the forum. Now that the reviews are done, I can say

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1 hour ago, Kieran_S91 said:

No but @Sir Rahul @gyanthecatand I think @thorgan lesar did some predictions in December, I did a few players from each team but the MLS finished on the 13th so I doubt these predictions will change much.

If you can buy them back I would.

Thank you Kieran. @Id rather be in SW19 you can find my predictions at the following link. However, I did them in November, so they might be not completely updated.

 

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1 hour ago, Nameless said:

one has to go -

Ibanez 

Mingueza 

Lacroix 

Diamonde 

Loic Bade 

I would sell Ibanez but is he certain to get +2 in the upcoming review?

 

 

Ran Ibanez thru spreadsheet again and he's now +1 to 87 Nameless if that update helps?

1 hour ago, Id rather be in SW19 said:

I wonder if now that the reveiws are all over the place that maybe we could see a return of the "these players are getting older this month so will drop in value" spread sheet 

Im sure that it had a much better title than that!

Ive missed it recently. Any chance of a revival?

Ok Sw19 I'll do them again if there is sufficient interest I'll keep doing them then 😃

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1 hour ago, Nameless said:

Who is/are most likely to get +1

All are GKs 

Musso 

Pau Lopez 

Lecomte 

Remiro (sociedad)

 

 

 

None of them, Musso might be the Best buy I remember someone saying that he’s been linked with a move to Inter in the summer.

50 minutes ago, Ben C said:

Marco Friedl due a rise? Played all minutes in Bundesliga reckon he can hit 88 end of season?

87 in my opinion.

27 minutes ago, Lilwizprince said:

What do you guys think of Mikel Oyarzabal?

Worth getting over the likes of Werner and Havertz???  Also, will he increase more? 

Maybe over Havertz

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48 minutes ago, Nameless said:

That was me haha. Now I read Inter want Perin

Yeah just been looking think there’s informal agreement in place for Musso to sign for Roma now 🤔

32 minutes ago, Nameless said:

This got missed since I added later. 

Neuhaus or Cancelo? Position doesn't matter I have the opportunity to make a counter bid.

Cancelo

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Update for German Bundasliga Review below:-

Previous tables on pages 777, 779, 780, 781, 782, 783, 784.785,786,787, 788, 789, 790, 791,792,793, 794,795,796,797,798,799,800,801,803,804,805.806,807,808,810,811,812,813,814.816,817,818,819,821,822,823,824,825,8826,827,828,829,830,831.832,833,834,835.836,837,839,841,842,844,845,855,856,857.860,864,866, 867.868,871,872,873,875,876,877,878,880,914,955,988. 1003,1008,1016, 1023.1026,1030, 1032,1042, 1045, 1047, 1055 , 1057, 1060, 1063, 1065, 1068, 1082, 1083, 1085, 1087, 1089, 1092, 1095, 1098, 1103,1106,1109,1118 ,1121, 1124 1126, 1132, 1138, 1141, 1147, 1152, 1153, 1155, 1157, 1158,1159 , 1160 , 1161,1163, 1165, 1169, 1174,1175,1176, 1180, 1187,  1189, 1197, 1210, 1211, 1212,1222, 1225, 1226,1227, 1236, 1239, 1240,NEW SEASON 1294 1303, 1307, 1309Prem , 1311P, 1316P  1318P, 1321P,  1323P, 1327Milan,  1355P 1361P 1365P 1368P 1370P 1371P 1376P  1378P 1380Germany  1384Ger(2)1389Ger 1394Italy 1396Prem 1398P  1405Pr 1406pr 1411pr 1414pr , 1419pr  1423Italy1425 Italy 1427 It, 1431 Italy, 1433Spain, 1435Spain, 1437Spain, 1439Spain,, 1441Spain, 1448 Prem, 1449 Prem 1452 Prem 1455 Prem1458 Prem, 1461 Prem 1464 Prem 1466 Prem 1469 Prem 1472 Prem  1475 Prem French 1519,  French 1521, French 1525, French 1528 French 1530 French 1537 French 1539 French 1541, French 1543 F 1545  Germany 1554 Germany 1557 Germany 1559   Be careful of the reddish boxes where SM rate the higher rated players by Performances rather than stats.

Minutes will vary game by game and league position also helps a lot. Anything over 0% indicates likely riser, higher the better/safer. Negative percentages don't predict a drop just less chances of a rise. The more games played the more accurate the predictions will become.

I am concentrating mainly on Younger under 89 rated players as these are more consistent risers and more profitable, Goal keepers are dealt with by SM in a completely different way, which is why I mostly also ignore Gk's 

Predic-Sp-Sht-Germy-Cologn-Eintrach1.png

Over a dozen Risers above.

I think it's fascinating to see in figures how one review can be so different to the last review. Look at Lucas Tuta from -9.4% to +55%, that translates into 117mins first and 720mins in the 2nd Review period so far!  The top 3 or 4 at Eintracht all have major improvements since last review for one reason or another. some similar and differing contrasts at Cologne also but the majority moving downwards.

Thanks for the forum's interest and support which is appreciated as usual, enjoy the weekends footie, I know I will, Cheers Socca  😃

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4 hours ago, Ben C said:

Marco Friedl due a rise? Played all minutes in Bundesliga reckon he can hit 88 end of season?

Even with 100% minutes it's a big jump for a player who is not at a top, top club or a BIG goalscorer

Ran him thru spreadsheet and it's an 87 Ben, but will do it close to the review  again and see if it's possible...

M Friedl WBremen12th 32.9% 2 87 32.9%
3 hours ago, TMCosta said:

Thats an easy +1 for Berenguer right?

On stats it's a close run thing as he has only four full 90mins throughout the whole season.

A Berenguer Athletic 11th -5.4% 1 88 -5.4%
2 hours ago, Nameless said:

This got missed since I added later. 

Neuhaus or Cancelo? Position doesn't matter I have the opportunity to make a counter bid.

Cancelo

1 hour ago, The Mad Hatter said:

Serkan Asan of Trabzonspor in Turkey, 21 years and rated 76 is looking at a +6 according to the esteemed Sir Rahul.

I can't find much information about him. Is he worth keeping and watching, or should I sell when he rises, which is my current plan?

 

If he continues with the same stats after his rise, he has plenty of room to rise again on stats basis anyway. Wild guess to 80 or 82 Mr Hatter, Statistically I'd say it happens more often than it doesn't but U would have to pay wages or remember and Sell & re-buy. 

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18 minutes ago, Sir Rahul said:

Hello all! I am back :)

Damaged my laptop display on 22nd Feb, so I had to send it for repair. Finally got it back today. Can't reply to all questions over the past two weeks but will answer where possible. 

Hope everyone is well :)

To bring you up to date with the most important thing is your best friend has two accounts here in forum (who does that in forum?) and possibly in SM as well. 

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2 hours ago, Soccahappy said:

Update for German Bundasliga Review below:-

Previous tables on pages 777, 779, 780, 781, 782, 783, 784.785,786,787, 788, 789, 790, 791,792,793, 794,795,796,797,798,799,800,801,803,804,805.806,807,808,810,811,812,813,814.816,817,818,819,821,822,823,824,825,8826,827,828,829,830,831.832,833,834,835.836,837,839,841,842,844,845,855,856,857.860,864,866, 867.868,871,872,873,875,876,877,878,880,914,955,988. 1003,1008,1016, 1023.1026,1030, 1032,1042, 1045, 1047, 1055 , 1057, 1060, 1063, 1065, 1068, 1082, 1083, 1085, 1087, 1089, 1092, 1095, 1098, 1103,1106,1109,1118 ,1121, 1124 1126, 1132, 1138, 1141, 1147, 1152, 1153, 1155, 1157, 1158,1159 , 1160 , 1161,1163, 1165, 1169, 1174,1175,1176, 1180, 1187,  1189, 1197, 1210, 1211, 1212,1222, 1225, 1226,1227, 1236, 1239, 1240,NEW SEASON 1294 1303, 1307, 1309Prem , 1311P, 1316P  1318P, 1321P,  1323P, 1327Milan,  1355P 1361P 1365P 1368P 1370P 1371P 1376P  1378P 1380Germany  1384Ger(2)1389Ger 1394Italy 1396Prem 1398P  1405Pr 1406pr 1411pr 1414pr , 1419pr  1423Italy1425 Italy 1427 It, 1431 Italy, 1433Spain, 1435Spain, 1437Spain, 1439Spain,, 1441Spain, 1448 Prem, 1449 Prem 1452 Prem 1455 Prem1458 Prem, 1461 Prem 1464 Prem 1466 Prem 1469 Prem 1472 Prem  1475 Prem French 1519,  French 1521, French 1525, French 1528 French 1530 French 1537 French 1539 French 1541, French 1543 F 1545  Germany 1554 Germany 1557 Germany 1559   Be careful of the reddish boxes where SM rate the higher rated players by Performances rather than stats.

Minutes will vary game by game and league position also helps a lot. Anything over 0% indicates likely riser, higher the better/safer. Negative percentages don't predict a drop just less chances of a rise. The more games played the more accurate the predictions will become.

I am concentrating mainly on Younger under 89 rated players as these are more consistent risers and more profitable, Goal keepers are dealt with by SM in a completely different way, which is why I mostly also ignore Gk's 

Predic-Sp-Sht-Germy-Cologn-Eintrach1.png

Over a dozen Risers above.

I think it's fascinating to see in figures how one review can be so different to the last review. Look at Lucas Tuta from -9.4% to +55%, that translates into 117mins first and 720mins in the 2nd Review period so far!  The top 3 or 4 at Eintracht all have major improvements since last review for one reason or another. some similar and differing contrasts at Cologne also but the majority moving downwards.

Thanks for the forum's interest and support which is appreciated as usual, enjoy the weekends footie, I know I will, Cheers Socca  😃

Do U23 best players spreadsheet please.

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12 hours ago, Buka said:

Dybala -1? It's looking likely if he doesn't hit the ground running once he returns from his injury - he's nearing a return. 

Dybala or Haaland? Hahaha-Haaaaland!

 

12 hours ago, Azzurro said:

Is there a chance VVD will drop in the next review? It would be very unfair if he did. 

I don't beleive any player should drop after a long term injury until it's clear he's not the same player anymore: Samuel Umtitti comes to mind. 

 

8 hours ago, Lilwizprince said:

I was offered Bruno so I could give Niguez and Klosterman,  so I wanted to know if it’s worth it 

You probably should have mentioned this before as to avoid confusion in your first question. I would still choose to take the offer of getting Bruno. Especially if you've got good enough squad depth. 🙂

13 minutes ago, keefmj said:

Saka value just jumped by 4m. luckily got a bid accepted just in time!

is there any formula these price jumps adhere to or just the whim of SM?

Pheeeeew! ☺

1 hour ago, Nameless said:

To bring you up to date with the most important thing is your best friend has two accounts here in forum (who does that in forum?) and possibly in SM as well. 

It's looking like he may be telling the truth about Xavier Forten being his brother's account (they share the same PC). I'm just waiting a few more days for a response from the other 2 managers regarding his transfer activity (who I recently contacted).

If theres no response I'll have to check it for myself, that's to be certain he hasn't been cheating in the 1 GW in which his brother participates in with him.

I'd rather mention that i've not gone hunting him down he asked for me to join one of his GW's and asked me to friend him as well. 🙂

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Please advice me the best pick from these 4 categories.

1. kaio jorge / silva brenner / troy parrot

2. fabio Vieira / naci unuvar / yusuf demir / angel gomez / noni madueke

3. Michael cuisance / Florentino luis / gustavo assuncao / fausto vera / nicolo rovella / tomas esteves 

4. Roger ibanez / noah katterbach / nehuen perez / josko gvardiol / ethan ampadu / odilon kossounou.

 

Also I can sign 2 from these list. Whom should I pick?

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1 hour ago, keefmj said:

Saka value just jumped by 4m. luckily got a bid accepted just in time!

is there any formula these price jumps adhere to or just the whim of SM?

The values on transfermarkt jump all over the place too. In my opinion it's right that the values of players should behave like this, and up to us to try to decide in time whether a player is overvalued or not. I got badly stung with Brandon Williams recently, when I felt that £6M was generous and wanted to sell, but didn't do so until my club got knocked out of the knockout competitions. When I finally listed him, the offer that came in was surprisingly low, and it turned out that SM had devalued him by £2M, just after I put him on the list. It's frustrating, but it's part of the game and should be so, in my opinion. I doubt that there's a hard and fast formula they use though.

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2 minutes ago, lemontrees said:

The values on transfermarkt jump all over the place too. In my opinion it's right that the values of players should behave like this, and up to us to try to decide in time whether a player is overvalued or not. I got badly stung with Brandon Williams recently, when I felt that £6M was generous and wanted to sell, but didn't do so until my club got knocked out of the knockout competitions. When I finally listed him, the offer that came in was surprisingly low, and it turned out that SM had devalued him by £2M, just after I put him on the list. It's frustrating, but it's part of the game and should be so, in my opinion. I doubt that there's a hard and fast formula they use though.

i agree. i wasnt complaining, just wondered if there was any pattern to it like age, etc. so you could somewhat predict. but if its random so be it

im just glad it lets the transfers go through anyway when it happens in that gap between bidding and approval

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