Rahul W's rating predictions

[1000dB 404]

5 hours ago, Kev said:

Yeah I get that and it makes sense. But with regards to Matthew Knox - he was aged 17 when I bought him in January, rated 70 and worth 700k. Now he's still 17, rated 71 and worth half that, so it can't be an age thing and it also can't be because his rating has dropped. Plus a near 50% drop in value is a bit much either way! It would be like Bailly dropping to 7m from 14m!

 

2 hours ago, Soccahappy said:

Yes this is true, but as Kev said this is NOT an age thing just SM reducing players values for their own reasons.

 

Maybe my post wasn't relevant enough but it was meant to be helpful though.

After the massive overhaul, took a big hit back then, I slowly stopped caring enough to figure the valuations out. A rough outline suffices for me. Also, I started getting rid of most minus 80 rated players, I only try to keep the very promising 80-85 rated ones and I mainly focus on 85-90 rated ones. E.g. V.Thill I bought a year ago for 30k and sold him after his Dec. rise just shy of 2m (he's now rated 75 and worth 1.4m). On others I had to take small losses but usually because they were bought/sold when I shouldn't have. Nothing close to the big hit I took during the overhaul though. I kept some 70-85 rated ones for s and giggles as it's a game (even if they aren't worth much it's fun to have them). However SM "forces" me to keep buying more expensive players as I have well over 2 billion in my account (2,147.4 is the max., anything more in my account vanishes). TBH it feels a bit like I'm Man Utd. Why care about wasting "money" when you're filthy rich.

 

ATM I can't really help you as I haven't been tracking the valuations closely (already explained why). Isn't it still based on the player's potential? The value also going up when a review is edging closer and deflating afterwards? 700k sounds quite steep for a 70 rated player. Angel Gomes is cheaper and I'd wait, most likely years, to buy him. T.Lato only recently reemerged on my radar as he has been getting into starting line-ups.

 

Bailly is bottom tier, can't drop below 12m (or to 7m like you said) unless his rating drops/enters a new age bracket, while in your example you could use Sane (24m) who could drop to 14m. Unlucky. I noticed Asensio recently dropped 4m, from 20m to 16m, and he's getting plenty of hype. Lucky for me as I need to blow some cash, wanted to buy him back anyway and TBH there's hardly anybody left that I can get my hands on (he probably won't rise before winter but hey-ho I'm filthy rich). Avoiding risk and buying kiddies at bottom tier values, where's the fun in that.

[Kev 752]

3 minutes ago, 1000dB said:

 

 

Maybe my post wasn't relevant enough but it was meant to be helpful though.

After the massive overhaul, took a big hit back then, I slowly stopped caring enough to figure the valuations out. A rough outline suffices for me. Also, I started getting rid of most minus 80 rated players, I only try to keep the very promising 80-85 rated ones and I mainly focus on 85-90 rated ones. E.g. V.Thill I bought a year ago for 30k and sold him after his Dec. rise just shy of 2m (he's now rated 75 and worth 1.4m). On others I had to take small losses but usually because they were bought/sold when I shouldn't have. Nothing close to the big hit I took during the overhaul though. I kept some 70-85 rated ones for s and giggles as it's a game (even if they aren't worth much it's fun to have them). However SM "forces" me to keep buying more expensive players as I have well over 2 billion in my account (2,147.4 is the max., anything more in my account vanishes). TBH it feels a bit like I'm Man Utd. Why care about wasting "money" when you're filthy rich.

 

ATM I can't really help you as I haven't been tracking the valuations closely (already explained why). Isn't it still based on the player's potential? The value also going up when a review is edging closer and deflating afterwards? 700k sounds quite steep for a 70 rated player. Angel Gomes is cheaper and I'd wait, most likely years, to buy him. T.Lato only recently reemerged on my radar as he has been getting into starting line-ups.

 

Bailly is bottom tier, can't drop below 12m (or to 7m like you said) unless his rating drops/enters a new age bracket, while in your example you could use Sane (24m) who could drop to 14m. Unlucky. I noticed Asensio recently dropped 4m, from 20m to 16m, and he's getting plenty of hype. Lucky for me as I need to blow some cash, wanted to buy him back anyway and TBH there's hardly anybody left that I can get my hands on (he probably won't rise before winter but hey-ho I'm filthy rich). Avoiding risk and buying kiddies at bottom tier values, where's the fun in that.

Again that all makes sense. My reason for buying Knox was that he was attracting interest from some big PL teams earlier in the season (and might still be, I haven't checked), so if he gets a move and gets game time he could quickly rise. For only 700k it seemed like a risk worth taking. Mind you, it's for my Aberdeen team and there's no money in the Scottish league so it's still a fairly big amount for that side. But if he could possibly be mid 80s by the time he's 19 I'll probably be able to make a few million on him. You never know. I've bought Angel Gomes for a few of my teams, but like you say, it will probably be a few years before I can cash in or have a player for the starting 11 (same goes for Vincent Thill).

[d5v1L 78]

1. Any chance for a rise for marc bartra ?
Bartra or smalling ?

2. Can you rank these in terms of potential and future value : 

Vaclav cerny
Saint Maximin
Suat Serdar

[hoochy koochy 51]

On 4/24/2017 at 3:01 PM, Sir Rahul said:

Tbh it was tougher to predict for Brazil, because there are so many players, some with familiar names, which don't correlate to WhoScored data sometimes. So I may have made some mistakes, and couldn't be bothered to really check them out.

Another point is that sometimes I predict drops a bit too harshly, or maybe on a squad/league cap that I predicted. They've been generous/lenient with Brazil, so yeah. 

Lastly some of the small predictions could go either way, so not too bothered by that. My knowledge of Brazil isn't the best, I just tried my best. And also some predictions are for oldies, who obviously get shafted by SW usually, so.

When it comes to Europe (mainly top 5 + Champ and a few more other leagues), I trust my knowledge as I watch a bit of football and read a lot on Twitter etc. + stats/data are reliable + squad/league caps easily predictable. But other leagues, not so much. 

This post is made generally, just to let y'all know. 

PS- The previous Brazil review was in June 16. So if the next one is 10 months later or so, I'd sell most of the low-rated older Brazil guys, or the ones that've peaked. 

it is appreciated dude.Keep up the good work. A lot just come on here and leech off the knowledge without appreciating or contributing. 

[Sir Rahul 4,199]

3 hours ago, d5v1L said:

1. Any chance for a rise for marc bartra ?
Bartra or smalling ?

2. Can you rank these in terms of potential and future value : 

Vaclav cerny
Saint Maximin
Suat Serdar

50/50

Bartra

Cerny, Maximin, Serdar

30 minutes ago, hoochy koochy said:

it is appreciated dude.Keep up the good work. A lot just come on here and leech off the knowledge without appreciating or contributing. 

no prob thanks

[TMCosta 1,439]

On 20/04/2017 at 2:15 PM, Kev said:

Any thought on Matthew Knox at Livingston? He was attracting interest from some big clubs a few months ago.

+1  nhé

[TMCosta 1,439]

7 minutes ago, TMCosta said:

+1  nhé

lol to late

[TMCosta 1,439]

4 hours ago, TMCosta said:

lol to late

his history with my team lol:

28	2 Mar 2017	Livingston	Grimsby Town	340mil	Matthew KNOX
28	15 Fev 2017	Grimsby Town	Livingston	826mil	Matthew KNOX
27	8 Out 2016	Livingston	Grimsby Town	400mil	Matthew KNOX

now worth 360 k 

[Sir Rahul 4,199]

7 minutes ago, TMCosta said:

his history with my team lol:

28	2 Mar 2017	Livingston	Grimsby Town	340mil	Matthew KNOX
28	15 Fev 2017	Grimsby Town	Livingston	826mil	Matthew KNOX
27	8 Out 2016	Livingston	Grimsby Town	400mil	Matthew KNOX

now worth 360 k 

mil?

[Kev 752]

29 minutes ago, Sir Rahul said:

mil?

If I could've got 400 mil I'd have flogged him ages ago! Doesn't seem right that his price has fluctuated so much though, especially dropping around 500k in a month.

[Nico66 2,894]

33 minutes ago, Sir Rahul said:

mil?

Thousand in French.. (i.e. 340mil = 340k in English)

[Sir Rahul 4,199]

6 minutes ago, Nico66 said:

Thousand in French.. (i.e. 340mil = 340k in English)

Ah, thought as much...and I have a french final exam in three weeks!

[Kev 752]

6 minutes ago, Nico66 said:

Thousand in French.. (i.e. 340mil = 340k in English)

Of course, should've spotted that with the months being in French too. I got a A for French at GCSE, but that was a few years before Matthew Knox was even born!

[TMCosta 1,439]

2 hours ago, Nico66 said:

Thousand in French.. (i.e. 340mil = 340k in English)

lol thats funny...not french...im portuguese

[Kev 752]

24 minutes ago, TMCosta said:

lol thats funny...not french...im portuguese

You can tell it was a long time ago that I studied French! October would be "Oct" rather than "Out". My wife's Portuguese and has confirmed that I'm wrong! 

[BarcaKes1 880]

On Sunday, April 23, 2017 at 8:45 PM, Sir Rahul said:

 

Underrating Marcos Llorente for me there Rahul, i think he's an 87/88, brilliant performances for Alaves, and statistically also comparable to the best DMs in europe (yep i've been following him a lot lol)

Dont get confused with his more hot and cold brother Diego Llorente (a lot of people do confuse them for some reason) 

[BarcaKes1 880]

 

Btw, my suggestion Zappacosta +2 to 90 --> i'd give him a normal +1 but i noticed SM seem to be giving an extra point for players who've featured for their NT, see belotti's +3, andre silva's +5, guerreiro's +2 for examples. 

Also think Nainggolan and Hamsik +1 to 93 is a 50/50

Jorginho +1 to 91

 

[1000dB 404]

6 hours ago, Kev said:

Of course, should've spotted that with the months being in French too. I got a A for French at GCSE, but that was a few years before Matthew Knox was even born!

Aout (August) would have been close too and yes for October you just swap the last 2 letters.

[Sir Rahul 4,199]

10 hours ago, TMCosta said:

lol thats funny...not french...im portuguese

Even better lolol, I was right after all

6 hours ago, BarcaKes1 said:

Underrating Marcos Llorente for me there Rahul, i think he's an 87/88, brilliant performances for Alaves, and statistically also comparable to the best DMs in europe (yep i've been following him a lot lol)

Dont get confused with his more hot and cold brother Diego Llorente (a lot of people do confuse them for some reason) 

True but Alaves have a squad cap so wasn't too sure. Top talent.

6 hours ago, BarcaKes1 said:

Btw, my suggestion Zappacosta +2 to 90 --> i'd give him a normal +1 but i noticed SM seem to be giving an extra point for players who've featured for their NT, see belotti's +3, andre silva's +5, guerreiro's +2 for examples. 

Also think Nainggolan and Hamsik +1 to 93 is a 50/50

Jorginho +1 to 91

Idk if Sampdoria will get him a +2.

Agreed on Nain and Hamsik.

Jorginho, probably. 

[Nico66 2,894]

10 hours ago, Kev said:

You can tell it was a long time ago that I studied French! October would be "Oct" rather than "Out". My wife's Portuguese and has confirmed that I'm wrong! 

My wife is Russian and often confirms that I am wrong ha-ha!  

[Sir Rahul 4,199]

On 26/04/2017 at 1:36 AM, jlammy said:

Gagliardini rise? 

87

[BarcaKes1 880]

4 hours ago, Sir Rahul said:

Even better lolol, I was right after all

True but Alaves have a squad cap so wasn't too sure. Top talent. - he is owned by Real madrid though ;p

Idk if Sampdoria will get him a +2. - Torino* and he's played twice for Italy recently, hence my argument 

Agreed on Nain and Hamsik.

Jorginho, probably. - would be deserved imo, not sure though

 

[Sir Rahul 4,199]

1 hour ago, BarcaKes1 said:

 

Ah yes, my bad, got confused 

[Soccahappy 5,217]

Sir Rahl, I realise your Italian review may be out of date but it does bring up some interesting questions.

For Instance Questions at Napoli: Callejon, Mertens & Insigne noted as +1, will they break the Squad Cap to do this? Diawara only played 30.6%minutes, Zielinski 51%, Mertens 72% & Albiol 71.7% rising seems doubtful in view of minutes although Mertens has 22goals & 5Assists which SM may well take into consideration??

Other Italian clubs & players are similar, would an Italian re-fresh be coming in the near future??

[Sir Rahul 4,199]

16 minutes ago, Soccahappy said:

Sir Rahul, I realise your Italian review may be out of date but it does bring up some interesting questions.

For Instance Questions at Napoli: Callejon, Mertens & Insigne noted as +1, will they break the Squad Cap to do this? Diawara only played 30.6%minutes, Zielinski 51%, Mertens 72% & Albiol 71.7% rising seems doubtful in view of minutes although Mertens has 22goals & 5Assists which SM may well take into consideration??

Other Italian clubs & players are similar, would an Italian re-fresh be coming in the near future??

Don't have the time I'm afraid 

Squad cap is 92 (Hamsik)- surely Mertens will rise though. 

Diawara and Zielinski should get +1s too imo.