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Rahul W's rating predictions


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Hi all, As you have seen, I have not really been active over the past few months other than updating my preds. It's just been me phasing out of the forum. Now that the reviews are done, I can say

Just noticed this thread has crossed 1 million views, 23k odd replies, 930 pages.  I know this is 3 and a half years old but I never intended for this to monopolise the forum back then (I would h

Page 200- didn't think we'd get here when I started this casually- thanks all

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1 minute ago, Gaelgoir said:

Apologies for asking a transfer related question. 

But would people swap dybala and 39m to get a chance at signing mbappe. He will go for max (79m) in this competitive but low money world.

 

It’s a high price as Dybala has talent that can be further improved upon but I think I’d still go for Mbappe 👍🏻

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18 hours ago, jagerbob said:

should I sell eric dier for adren rabbiot?

both same rating, similar age. I think rabbiot might get a winter increase. but hes gonna leave PSG next summer according to reports.

I'd go for Rabiot

5 hours ago, jonhyscp said:

When is the Eredivisie review?

Usually early spring

2 hours ago, EnglishPirlo said:

Regarding that, anyone think there is a case for an out of schedule increase for De Ligt? He is massively underrated right now. 

They do throw in random reviews and he's be as good a candidate for one as any. 

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1 hour ago, Gaelgoir said:

Apologies for asking a transfer related question. 

But would people swap dybala and 39m to get a chance at signing mbappe. He will go for max (79m) in this competitive but low money world.

 

If you are certain to get Mbappe I would do it. But if there are any lingering doubts like others may bid on him I wouldn't take the risk.

PS: don't forget others can do player exchange(s). Usually it takes one bid to remind other managers a player is available.

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6 hours ago, thorgan lesar said:

:o:o WOW... 

You are someone for the real world (as scout possibly).. 

Thank you for your kind words Thorgan Lesar. I'm retired & out to pasture, so wouldn't accept the offer. Tho I suffer for "my art" maybe I also talk out of "my A**e" too sometimes. 😏 😣  😥

Anyway don't players nowadays have those computer monitors inside their shirts, bulging at the back of the neck?  Must give the clubs all the stats they need. Minutes, Kilometeres, passes, what they ate for breakfast etc ?

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On 10/31/2018 at 6:51 AM, jagerbob said:

should I sell eric dier for adren rabbiot?

both same rating, similar age. I think rabbiot might get a winter increase. but hes gonna leave PSG next summer according to reports.

yes 

On 10/31/2018 at 4:47 PM, Mickbor59 said:

Brozovic or zielinski?

Brozo

23 hours ago, francesco said:

Joe Gomez +2/3 ?

check my preds

22 hours ago, EnglishPirlo said:

Looks like Mexico will be reviewed after Brazil.

nice

22 hours ago, Soccahappy said:

 

I'll try to answer TL & MF:-

My spreadsheet (1000 players+)  has evolved over maybe 6/7years. It basically tries to predict how SM decides who gets rises and who doesn't.

So I kept records of minutes played as percentage of the possible minutes to be played & noticed how much a 90 rated player needed as opposed to a 70 rated player ( and every rating in between). It wasn't exactly 100% correct but it was close.

I then noticed that top clubs Real Madrid etc needed less minutes than say Huddersfield or even Everton (the Pecking Order) and I tried to simulate that too. This improved the predictions again but it is an evolving changing thing like Leicester might be near relegation 1 season & then Top the next, so it's variable by season to season.

I have had a lot of success with it & my 3 clubs now have around 1.8 billion each and hit the maximum around 2.1Billion most seasons at some time b4 I start buying again (251Max). SM miss a lot every review like I know this player should definitely get a rise and they miss him. It almost seems like SM do it purposely to make it harder for such as us to make money buying & selling.

Also minutes for players over 89/90 are less important than performances & winning titles, scoring goals, assists etc. I've recently started trying to add this to my spreadsheet in a small way but it is not as accurate as yet & might not be for years. The higher percentage in the last column is the final predictor about how safe it is, at this particular point in time but doesn't account for SM messing up or just missing some players altogether. Nothing is 100% but I try to improve each season....

I think such as Sir R & many others on here must work in a similar way, I'd be interested in their views but they may not be willing to share their secrets?????

chief this is it 

21 hours ago, jonhyscp said:

When is the Eredivisie review?

March

19 hours ago, EnglishPirlo said:

Regarding that, anyone think there is a case for an out of schedule increase for De Ligt? He is massively underrated right now. 

always a chance of a random rise

18 hours ago, tupac_healy said:

Can Sergio Asenjo get a 90 rating? Seems a good keeper at a relatively big club 

Villarreal are struggling, so no

18 hours ago, Gaelgoir said:

Apologies for asking a transfer related question. 

But would people swap dybala and 39m to get a chance at signing mbappe. He will go for max (79m) in this competitive but low money world.

yes

13 hours ago, th3stain said:

@rahul

Stefan Savic won't drop. He plays a lot for Atletico. Only reason he has few games this season so far is due to injury. He has started every game when he wasn't injured.

noted

12 hours ago, Jh4rman said:

Will Lukas Hradecky get 90?

no

12 hours ago, Jh4rman said:

Is there a chance Joe Gomez can go straight to 90?

89 first imo

10 hours ago, JAMancini said:

Is Sergi Roberto in his maximum level? (91)

yes

9 hours ago, Kev said:

Is there much chance of Antonio Moya (Atletico Madrid) getting a rise? He made a couple of appearances for the senior side but seems to have disappeared. Keep or sell?

sell

7 hours ago, The punch said:

Nikola Milenkovic +3 ?

see my preds

3 hours ago, Dasylver said:

Tony lopes...keep or sell?

Carlos soler....keep or sell?

idk

keep for now

45 minutes ago, Tharanidharan said:

@Sir Rahul you didn't give preds for Barkley and RLC. What do you think? 

Both +1?

for a few games? nope

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On 4/3/2017 at 11:26 AM, Sir Rahul said:

BRAZIL SÉRIE A

Sao Paulo:

Militao +3 to 85- yes

Caio -1 to 88

Reinaldo +1 to 86

Hudson +1 to 86

Anderson Martins +1 to 86

Arboleda +1 to 86

Alves +3 to 85

Sidao +2 to 85

Regis Souza +2 to 80

Liziero +8 to 78

 

Palmeiras:

Henrique +1 to 87

Melo +1 to 87

Scarpa -1 to 87

Carlos +3 to 86

Barbosa +1 to 86

Dracena +1 to 86

Vanderlei Jean -1 to 86

Jailson +2 to 85

Thiago Santos +1 to 85

Guerra -1 to 85

Hyoran +3 to 83

 

Gremio:

Kannemann +1 to 87

Everton Soares +1 to 87

Cicero +1 to 87

Cortez +1 to 86

Maicon +1 to 86

Leo Moura +2 to 85

Bressan +2 to 85

Jael +2 to 84

Leonardo Gomes +1 to 77

 

Internacional:

Rithely -1 to 85- yes

Guerrero -2 to 87

Dourado +1 to 86

Pottker +1 to 86

Moledo +1 to 86

Nico Lopez +1 to 86

Patrick +2 to 85

D'Alessandro -2 to 85

Camilo -1 to 84

Uendel -1 to 84

Iago +10 to 83

Leismann Fabiano +1 to 83

 

Flamengo:

Paqueta +3 to 86- +5 to 88

Rodinei +2 to 86

Rene +1 to 86

Cuellar +1 to 86

Arao -1 to 86

Romulo -1 to 85

Duarte +7 to 84

Ederson -1 to 82

Thuler +2 to 77

Jean Lucas +5 to 75

 

Atletico Mineiro:

Welison +2 to 80- +4 to 82

Gedeao Luan +1 to 86

Franca Gabriel +1 to 85

Iago Maidana +5 to 83

Aparecido Emerson +10 to 80

Blanco +3 to 80

 

Cruzeiro:

Sobis -1 to 86- yes

Manoel -1 to 85- yes

Raniel +4 to 82- yes

Dede +1 to 86- +2 to 87

Rafinha +1 to 86- -2 to 83

Leo +1 to 87

Egidio +1 to 87

Robinho +1 to 87

Romero +1 to 87

Silva +1 to 87

Edilson +1 to 86

Cabral +1 to 86

Mancuello -1 to 86

Fred -1 to 86

Ezequiel +1 to 84

 

Santos:

Alison +1 to 86- yes

Verissimo +1 to 86- yes

Ruiz -1 to 87

Sasha +1 to 86

Mota +1 to 85

Copete -1 to 85

Rodrygo Goes +2 to 84

Pituca +5 to 83

Guedes +1 to 83

 

Corinthians:

Ralf -1 to 86- yes

Pedrinho +5 to 85- yes

Mantuan +7 to 80- yes

Santos +3 to 80- yes

Vital +2 to 84- +3 to 85

Henrique +1 to 88

Avelar +1 to 86

Henrique +1 to 84

Walter +1 to 84

Sheik -2 to 80

Augusto +2 to 75

 

Fluminense:

Gilberto +1 to 84- yes

Richard +6 to 83- yes

Ayrton +5 to 83- yes

Pedro +5 to 83- +7 to 85

Jadson +2 to 84- +1 to 83

Alessandro +1 to 78- +5 to 82

Ibanez +6 to 76- +10 to 80

Everaldo +1 to 76- +5 to 80

Dyego +1 to 76- +5 to 80

Cesar +2 to 85

 

Atletico Paranaense:

Pablo +2 to 85- yes

Heleno -1 to 85- yes

Gusmao Guilherme -1 to 85- yes

Santos +6 to 83- yes

Renan +6 to 82- yes

Ivaldo +5 to 82- yes

Marcinho +2 to 82- yes

Veiga +2 to 84- +1 to 83

Pereira +2 to 80- +4 to 82

Guimaraes +8 to 78- +10 to 80

Nikao +1 to 86

 

Botafago:

Matheus Fernandes +3 to 85- yes

Rabello +2 to 85- yes

Lindoso +1 to 85- yes

Moises +4 to 82- yes

Fernando +2 to 84- +1 to 83

Lima -1 to 84- -2 to 83

Marcinho +5 to 83- +4 to 82

Saulo +8 to 78- +10 to 80

Bochecha +1 to 76- +5 to 80

Carli +2 to 85- nope

Valencia +1 to 84- nope

Jefferson -1 to 84- nope

Fernandez -1 to 84- nope

 

Bahia:

Rafael +1 to 86- yes

Clayton -1 to 85- yes

Nilton -2 to 85- yes

Vinicius +1 to 84- yes

Allione -1 to 84- yes

Friedrich +1 to 83- yes

Pele +2 to 84- +1 to 83

Edson -1 to 84- -2 to 83

Gregore +7 to 80- +9 to 82

Brumado +3 to 73- +8 to 78

Everson +2 to 75- +8 to 78

Antonio +3 to 73- +6 to 76

Mena -2 to 85- nope

Fonseca +1 to 84- nope

Elton +1 to 84nope

Jackson -1 to 82nope

 

Vasco da Gama:

Motta -1 to 84- yes

Desabato +1 to 83- yes

Gustavo +2 to 82- yes

Castan -2 to 85- -1 to 86

Pikachu +1 to 84- +2 to 85

Fabricio -1 to 84- -2 to 83

Andrey +3 to 78- +5 to 80

Bruno Silva +2 to 78- +4 to 80

Graca +7 to 76- +8 to 78

Cosendey +3 to 73- +6 to 76

Augusto -1 to 85nope

Rios +1 to 84nope

Wagner -1 to 84nope

Maxi Lopez -1 to 84nope

Kelvin -1 to 84nope

 

America Mineiro:

Moura -1 to 83- yes

Wesley -1 to 83- yes

Paulao -2 to 83- yes

Juninho +2 to 82- yes

Ricardo +1 to 82- yes

Messias +3 to 83- +2 to 82

Jory +5 to 75- +6 to 76

Marquinhos -1 to 82nope

Aderlan +2 to 80nope

 

Vitoria:

Arouca -2 to 83- yes

Kanu -1 to 82- yes

Ronaldo +8 to 78- yes

Rios -2 to 83- -1 to 84

Rodrigo Andrade +1 to 78- +3 to 80

Jefferson +1 to 83nope

Ramon +1 to 83nope

Wallyson -1 to 82nope

Andre Lima -1 to 82nope

 

Ceara:

Renan -2 to 83- yes

Otavio +4 to 82- yes

Richardson +4 to 82- yes

Fabinho -1 to 82- yes

Arthur +4 to 80- yes

Ricardinho +1 to 80- yes

Lucas +2 to 78- yes

Everson +4 to 82- +5 to 83

Carvalho +1 to 78- +3 to 80

Pires -1 to 82- -3 to 80

Valdo +1 to 77- +2 to 78

Valoura Juninho -1 to 82nope

Alves +2 to 80nope

Bueno -2 to 80nope

Elton -2 to 80nope

Reina -2 to 80nope

Ken -2 to 80nope

Arnaldo -2 to 80nope

Romario -2 to 80nope

 

Chapecoense:

Douglas -1 to 85- yes

Bruno Pacheco +2 to 82- yes

Osman -1 to 82- yes

Junior Santos -1 to 82- yes

Apodi -1 to 84- -2 to 83

Marcio Araujo -1 to 84- -2 to 83

Helio Neto -2 to 80- -4 to 78

Canteros -1 to 84nope

Jandrei +1 to 83nope

Thyere +1 to 83nope

Carlos Eduardo -1 to 83nope

 

Sport Recife:

Bastos -1 to 85- yes

Ernando -1 to 84- yes 

Sander +1 to 83- yes

Rogerio -1 to 83- yes

Durval -1 to 82- yes

Neto Moura +2 to 80- yes

Ortiz +1 to 77- yes

Hernane -2 to 82- -1 to 83

Jair +1 to 76- +2 to 77

Marlone -1 to 84nope

 

Parana:

Carlos -1 to 83- yes

Maicosuel -1 to 83- yes

Eduardo -2 to 83- yes

Ortigoza -2 to 80- yes

Junior +2 to 78- yes

Rayan +1 to 78- yes

Santana +4 to 77- yes

Thiago Rodrigues +3 to 77- +4 to 78

Grampola +1 to 77- +2 to 78

Jhonny Lucas +3 to 76- +4 to 77

Caio Henrique +2 to 82- nope

Reis -1 to 82- nope

Itaperuna -2 to 78- nope

Jesiel +1 to 76- nope

some big rises these few days

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On 10/25/2016 at 12:12 PM, Sir Rahul said:

ITALY SERIE A

Juventus:

Szczesny +1 to 91

Benatia -1 to 90

Barzagli -1 to 89

 

Napoli:

Hysaj +1 to 91

Albiol +1 to 90

Rui +1 to 89

Milik +1 to 89

Chiriches -1 to 87

Luperto +1 to 84

 

Inter:

Brozovic +1 to 91

Miranda -1 to 91

D'Ambrosio +1 to 90

Politano +1 to 90

Mario -1 to 89

Valero -1 to 89

Ranocchia -1 to 86

 

Lazio:

Acerbi +1 to 90

Strakosha +1 to 90

Leiva +1 to 90

Marusic +1 to 89

Wallace +1 to 89

Patric +1 to 85

Felipe +1 to 84

 

Milan:

Romagnoli +1 to 91

Suso +1 to 91

Donnarumma +1 to 90

Kessie +1 to 90

Calabria +1 to 88

Bakayoko -1 to 88

Bertolacci -1 to 87

 

Fiorentina:

Pezzella +1 to 89

Milenkovic +2 to 88

Hugo +1 to 88

Biraghi +1 to 88

Lafont +1 to 88

Gerson +1 to 87

Mirallas -1 to 87

Fernandes +2 to 85

Dragowski +2 to 84

 

Sampdoria:

Defrel +1 to 89

Murru +1 to 88

Barreto +1 to 88

Ekdal +1 to 88

Audero +4 to 86

Andersen +3 to 86

 

Roma:

Under +1 to 89

Olsen +1 to 88

Jesus -1 to 88

Kluivert +1 to 86

Zaniolo +2 to 78

Pellegrini +2 to 77

 

Sassuolo:

Ferrari +1 to 88

Marlon +1 to 87

Rogerio +4 to 86

Lirola +1 to 86

Peluso -1 to 86

Bourabia +2 to 85

Magnani +4 to 84

 

Torino:

Belotti -1 to 90

Meite +1 to 88

Soriano -1 to 88

Moretti +1 to 87

Berenguer +1 to 86

Ansaldi -1 to 87

Aina +3 to 85

 

Genoa:

Piatek +4 to 87

Biraschi +3 to 86

Kouame +3 to 86

Spolli +1 to 86

Veloso -1 to 86

Lapadula -1 to 86

Radu +3 to 83

Pereira +2 to 82

Gunter +2 to 82

 

Cagliari:

Ionita +1 to 87

Romagna +1 to 87

Klavan -1 to 87

Bradaric +1 to 86

Cigarini -1 to 86

Andreolli -1 to 85

 

Parma:

Alves -1 to 87

Sepe +1 to 86

Gagliolo +1 to 85

Iacoponi +2 to 84

Stulac +2 to 84

Barilla +1 to 84

Biabiany -1 to 84

 

Atalanta:

Masiello +1 to 88

Hateboer +1 to 88

Gollini +3 to 86

Gosens +1 to 86

Mancini +2 to 85

Barrow +3 to 83

 

SPAL:

Gomis +1 to 86

Cionek +1 to 86

Fares +1 to 86

Vicari +1 to 86

Schiattarella +1 to 85

Valoti +1 to 84

 

Udinese:

Samir +1 to 88

De Paul +1 to 88

Fofana +1 to 88

Larsen +1 to 87

Scuffet +1 to 86

Nuytinck +1 to 86

Troost-Ekong +2 to 85

Machis +1 to 85

Badu -1 to 85

 

Bologna:

Destro -1 to 87

Santander +1 to 86

Dijks +1 to 86

Mattiello +2 to 85

Calabresi +2 to 84

Svanberg +2 to 82

Okonkwo +2 to 80

 

Empoli:

Caputo +1 to 85

Antonelli -1 to 85

Di Lorenzo +2 to 84

Krunic +1 to 84

Zajc +1 to 84

Bennacer +1 to 84

Buchel -1 to 84

Terracciano +3 to 83

La Gumina +1 to 83

Rasmussen +2 to 80

Traore +1 to 77

 

Frosinone:

Sportiello -1 to 87

Campbell -1 to 86

Chibsah +1 to 85

Zampano +1 to 85

Ciano +1 to 85

Maiello +1 to 84

Ariaudo -1 to 84

Dionisi -1 to 84

Sammarco -1 to 82

 

Chievo:

Stepinski +1 to 86

Giaccherini -1 to 86

Hetemaj -1 to 86

Rigoni +1 to 85

Pucciarelli -1 to 85

Depaoli +2 to 84

Bani +1 to 84

Djordjevic -1 to 84

Meggiorini -1 to 84

Pellissier -1 to 84

Cesar -1 to 84

Jaroszynski +1 to 83

Leris +2 to 77

done

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